According to the Committee on the Status of Endangered
Wildlife in Canada, Boreal Caribou (formerly referred to as Woodland Caribou)
occur in naturally low densities in mature boreal forest habitats. Based
primarily on observation rather than any scientific studies it has been
speculated that their range has receded northward to approximately the 50th
parallel within Ontario and Quebec with some isolated southern populations such
as the Slate Islands.
As an example Christopher Wilkinson published the following map in volume 28 of "Rangifer" (http://www.ub.uit.no/baser/septentrio/index.php/rangifer/article/view/147):
Note especially how the 2007 line compares with the range shown in the following map from "State of the Woodland Caribou Resource Report" published by Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources (MNR) in 2014 (https://www.ontario.ca/document/state-woodland-caribou-resource-report-part-1):
Amazing how reality (the second map) doesn't match very well with speculation (the first)!
Gord Miller, the former Environmental Commissioner of
Ontario, stated in his 2010/2011 annual report that woodland caribou "to
date only crude population estimates and delineation of herd ranges have been
publicly available". This bears the question, why? And if all we have are
"crude estimates" then how were they identified as an endangered
species?
When the population is sparsely distributed how does one get
a reasonably accurate census? Similarly back at the end of the 19th century,
which is the time that most references to their former range refer to, how
could they have been observed with confidence? The only access at that time in
Northwestern Ontario was either by canoe routes or the recently established
Canadian Pacific Railway (CPR). Even today occasional sightings are made far south of what is considered
their current southern limit. Could those sighting from over a century ago have
been of similar transients?
Even I have speculated that the Boreal Caribou may have
moved north to where there is no interaction with humans. But in reflection
that does not explain for example the herd in the Onaman Lake area that is
south of the Canadian National Railway (CNR) which one would assume would be the southern boundary if that
premise is true.
When it comes to caribou there is only one thing
certain; we know very little about the species and only in the current century
has much research been done. So why is a species that is found right across the
width of Canada with its range pretty well defined by the northern half of the
boreal forest a) considered "endangered" and b) the source of public
policy when there is no evidence that human contact has had a negative impact
on its range, both real or imagined?
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I don't want to live in a bubble so if you have a different take or can suggest a different source of information go for it!