The expansion of civilization has been a function of access
to portable energy. With the ability to capture the power of wind through
development of sails civilisation expanded, but primarily over water where this
"free" energy could be taken advantage of. On land for centuries the
form of portable energy that was commonly used was wood. The problem with wood
is that it does not have a very high energy density ( 2.5 - 4.4 kWh/Kg) so it
takes a lot of wood to get a reasonable amount of energy. Another problem was
the cost of transforming that wood into a form that made it relatively easy to
move around with you at reasonable cost.
Fuel
|
Thermal Energy
|
(Calorific Content)
|
|
kWh/Kg
|
|
Green Wood
|
2.5
|
Brown Coal (Lignite)
|
2.8
|
Dry Wood
|
4.4
|
Methanol
|
6.4
|
Coking (Black) Coal
|
8.3
|
Ethanol
|
8.3
|
Natural Gas (North Sea)
|
10.8
|
Bio diesel
|
10.9
|
Oil
|
12.5
|
Diesel
|
12.9
|
Kerosene (Paraffin Oil)
|
13
|
Petrol (Gasoline)
|
13
|
Butane
|
13.7
|
Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) is a
mixture of Propane and Butane
|
13.8
|
Propane
|
13.9
|
Uranium 235 (Nuclear Fission)
|
22,500,000
|
93,600,000
|
|
|
|
adapted from
http://www.mpoweruk.com/energy_resources.htm
|
In some locations a black rock called coal was found that,
like wood, would burn thus releasing its contained energy. Unlike wood it
contains a higher energy density (8.3 kWh/Kg) and when crushed is easier to transport. Over
time methods were found to mine coal thus making its availability much easier
and through the economies of scale the cost per unit was brought down so that
it was dramatically less than wood. With its wholesale introduction thus began
the industrial revolution! But when it came to transportation, primarily through
the introduction of the stream engine, the volume required of coal and the
resultant useful energy captured did not allow much independence; it still was
bulky and that could only be alleviated by setting up large caches ahead of time.
Like coal another form of energy had been known for a long
time is petroleum. When the supply greatly expanded due to the discovery of a
proliferation of oil fields civilisation was able to take advantage of its
higher energy density than coal. Plus it had the additional advantage that it
is easier to transport as no longer were we subjected to the swell factors
associated with solids that need to be broken apart to make them easier to
transport (typically 75-85% for coal). So not only was oil easier to acquire
because being a liquid it could be pumped it also can be transported in a
denser form even though the energy density is not that much higher (about 12. 5
depending on the liquid, compared to 8.3 for coal). It is this compactness,
along with low cost, that once again revolutionized the economy leading to our
current state. Inexpensive yet portable energy has had a dramatic positive impact
on civilisation!
Where will we go from here? As you can see from the energy
density table if we can master containing fission or fusion into much smaller
packages who knows.
To back track, this transformation all began with a form of
"free" energy - wind. Not only is it "free" for the taking,
it is available just about anywhere on the earth's surface. So no need to
expend money to acquire it other than the mechanics of using the kinetic energy
of wind. Nor is there a need to find a way to contain it. The big problem is
that wind does not always blow when you need it. Another form of
"free" energy that we have access to is solar. Like wind it is a form
of "kinetic" energy in that it is result of the movement of photons. Like wind solar suffers
in that this energy is only when the sun shines and not occluded by cloud cover
and so is not always available when you need it.
While we cannot directly store wind and solar energy we can
convert them into electrical energy which can then be stored in batteries, or used
to convert that energy back into another form of kinetic energy that can be
stored, such as water. The problem with batteries is how can we make them
"portable" such that we can take enough energy with us to give
similar levels of independence at an affordable cost that we get with
petroleum? To have the capacity we need, using current technology, we have
excessive weight and volume to the point the gain diminishes rapidly as too
much energy is required just to move the mass of the batteries. Another change
needs to be a form of standardisation in battery packs so they can be quickly
swapped out thus negating the issue of requiring long time periods to charge
and the ability to have multiple packs so that longer distances can be
traveled, similar to having jerry cans of gasoline for an internal combustion
automobile.
Even with these issues I believe we are approaching a
tipping point. We currently have a multitude of means of creating electricity, and
that energy can be stored and made portable, including both wind and solar.
When, not if, that an affordable means of storing electricity is found
civilisation will undergo another positive transformation.
Note that historically all of these advances in civilisation
were the result of technological and economic breakthroughs and not by
government intervention. So even though there is much government
"encouragement" of electric vehicles it is a classic example of
putting "the cart before the horse". When industry can come up with a
way to store and transport energy in a such a way that it is useful no matter
where you are in the world, night and day, just like petroleum, then we can
make the next leap forward.
Will that breakthrough be with batteries? Maybe, if they can
standardise on the form factor so they can be easily swapped in and out and
avoid long recharging wait times; and improve the weight to contained power
density; and figure out a way to solve the problem of greatly reduced battery
output with decreasing temperature. Lots of issues, never mind the high cost
with no means on the horizon of having a dramatic decrease any time soon.
Maybe fuel cells can solve the remaining hurdles that
prevent them from being cost effective? Another possibility is that maybe
someone will come up with a cost effective way of converting hydrogen and
carbon into synthetic petroleum. Now wouldn't that be something! Take elements
that abound in nature and combine all into a form for which we already have the
infrastructure and the means of using. That would be transformational! Yes, I
know, we already have ethanol and biodiesel but their cost of production is
still too high based on current technology and sacrifice that land for food
production. Maybe the next breakthrough will be using the high energy density
of nuclear to cheaply break apart water to release hydrogen, do the same with
organic compounds to release carbon and then using catalysts combine the two to
make synthetic gasoline?
Regardless, researchers are looking and I am very confident
a breakthrough will come long before we run out of conventional petroleum. So
many possibilities but driven by the market place and not by government interference.
What is that quote attributed to Reagan? Oh yeah, "The nine most
terrifying words in the English language are: 'I'm from the government and I'm
here to help.'"
No comments:
Post a Comment
I don't want to live in a bubble so if you have a different take or can suggest a different source of information go for it!