Monday, March 26, 2018

Thoughts on Gun control


I have a moral and ethical issue with most proposals for "gun control". The primary reason is the hypocrisy that dominates any "debate" on this issue. Those who promote stronger gun control legislation do so as they believe every person killed by a gun is a tragic loss and we need to stop  this senseless loss of life any way possible. At first blush it seems like the right thing to do but then we need to consider that people lose their lives for a variety of reasons. Were the lives of those killed by any other method less valuable to society? For example people also die from automobile accidents. In 2004, the year I was able to get reliable statistics there were 743 people killed through the use of firearms and 2,875 from motor vehicle accidents. So a person is almost 4 times more likely to die from a motor vehicle accident but you don't hear of more motor vehicle control, just gun control. Is a life lost from the use a gun more valuable than one lost through the use of an automobile? This is the moral and ethical issue that is never addressed; is an untimely death from one method more of a loss that one by another? Of course not.

So why is it then that if a gun is involved it makes the lead news story? Is it because we do not have tight enough legislation? Being a former gun owner I can attest to the fact that is not the case, especially in Canada. Having and using a firearm has a lot of responsibility attached to it as does operating an automobile. In Canada you have to take and pass a gun safety course before you can even apply for a Possession Acquisition License (PAL) and that document is only issued after a careful background check, plus you need to be at least 18 years of age. I do not recall ever hearing of anyone having to get a background check before they could either operate or acquire an automobile plus you only have to be 16.

But you say that is like comparing apples and oranges, they are not the same! Or are they different? Both are manufactured tools. Sure, one is designed to kill and the other not but because of its mass and momentum can and does kill. The one common feature is that both are operated by human beings. As is said so often when it makes the news it is not guns that kill, it is people. Take for example the recent mass shooting at that school in Florida. A person was repeatedly reported to the authorities as being mentally disturbed. Did those authorities do anything? No, they did not. So what was the real reason that it happened? Was it because of the type of firearm he had? Maybe, as another type may have been less lethal, or maybe more would have been killed. The key fact though is that the authorities were made aware that this person was a danger yet did nothing. People lost their lives because of their inaction and not because the current legislation wasn't tight enough.

We have available to us many different means at our disposal for doing harm to others. Banning certain types just encourages the determined person to find another way. What is the most dangerous weapon? We are. We are our own worst enemy as many examples illustrate such as 9/11. At that time 2,996 people were killed and the perpetrators used box cutters to commandeer airplanes. Was there an outcry to ban box cutters? How about plane's?  Of course not because that is silly because it wasn't the cutters or the planes that were at fault, it was the terrorists who controlled both.

But the real issue here is that no attempt is being made to consider whether or not tighter gun control will have the desired effect. Thomas Sowell delved into that subject with his essay "The Gun Control Farce". For example he cites a study done by Professor Joyce Malcolm titled "Guns and Violence: The English Experience". She noted that during the latter stages of the 20th century in England gun control laws became ever more severe yet armed robberies in London soared to 1,400 in 1974 when there had only been 12 in 1954! She noted that "as the numbers of legal firearms have dwindled, the numbers of armed crimes have risen".

I strongly suspect that one reason gun control is an issue at all is because of political smoke and mirrors. The politicians use it as a misdirection technique to avoid the populace concerning ourselves with the real issues, such as health, and jobs. And they are aided and abetted by the main stream media who look for anything sensational that can be leveraged to sell their product regardless of the moral, ethical and logical aspects.

Update: The very next day after uploading this post I came across this interesting video. Please note the parallels. 



Friday, March 2, 2018

Portable Energy


The expansion of civilization has been a function of access to portable energy. With the ability to capture the power of wind through development of sails civilisation expanded, but primarily over water where this "free" energy could be taken advantage of. On land for centuries the form of portable energy that was commonly used was wood. The problem with wood is that it does not have a very high energy density ( 2.5 - 4.4 kWh/Kg) so it takes a lot of wood to get a reasonable amount of energy. Another problem was the cost of transforming that wood into a form that made it relatively easy to move around with you at reasonable cost.

Fuel
Thermal Energy
(Calorific Content)
kWh/Kg
Green Wood
2.5
Brown Coal (Lignite)
2.8
Dry Wood
4.4
Methanol
6.4
Coking (Black) Coal
8.3
Ethanol
8.3
Natural Gas (North Sea)
10.8
Bio diesel
10.9
Oil
12.5
Diesel
12.9
Kerosene (Paraffin Oil)
13
Petrol (Gasoline)
13
Butane
13.7
Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) is a mixture of Propane and Butane
13.8
Propane
13.9
Uranium 235 (Nuclear Fission)
22,500,000
93,600,000


adapted from http://www.mpoweruk.com/energy_resources.htm

In some locations a black rock called coal was found that, like wood, would burn thus releasing its contained energy. Unlike wood it contains a higher energy density (8.3 kWh/Kg)  and when crushed is easier to transport. Over time methods were found to mine coal thus making its availability much easier and through the economies of scale the cost per unit was brought down so that it was dramatically less than wood. With its wholesale introduction thus began the industrial revolution! But when it came to transportation, primarily through the introduction of the stream engine, the volume required of coal and the resultant useful energy captured did not allow much independence; it still was bulky and that could only be alleviated by setting up large caches ahead of time.

Like coal another form of energy had been known for a long time is petroleum. When the supply greatly expanded due to the discovery of a proliferation of oil fields civilisation was able to take advantage of its higher energy density than coal. Plus it had the additional advantage that it is easier to transport as no longer were we subjected to the swell factors associated with solids that need to be broken apart to make them easier to transport (typically 75-85% for coal). So not only was oil easier to acquire because being a liquid it could be pumped it also can be transported in a denser form even though the energy density is not that much higher (about 12. 5 depending on the liquid, compared to 8.3 for coal). It is this compactness, along with low cost, that once again revolutionized the economy leading to our current state. Inexpensive yet portable energy has had a dramatic positive impact on civilisation!

Where will we go from here? As you can see from the energy density table if we can master containing fission or fusion into much smaller packages who knows.

To back track, this transformation all began with a form of "free" energy - wind. Not only is it "free" for the taking, it is available just about anywhere on the earth's surface. So no need to expend money to acquire it other than the mechanics of using the kinetic energy of wind. Nor is there a need to find a way to contain it. The big problem is that wind does not always blow when you need it. Another form of "free" energy that we have access to is solar. Like wind it is a form of "kinetic" energy in that it is result of the  movement of photons. Like wind solar suffers in that this energy is only when the sun shines and not occluded by cloud cover and so is not always available when you need it.

While we cannot directly store wind and solar energy we can convert them into electrical energy which can then be stored in batteries, or used to convert that energy back into another form of kinetic energy that can be stored, such as water. The problem with batteries is how can we make them "portable" such that we can take enough energy with us to give similar levels of independence at an affordable cost that we get with petroleum? To have the capacity we need, using current technology, we have excessive weight and volume to the point the gain diminishes rapidly as too much energy is required just to move the mass of the batteries. Another change needs to be a form of standardisation in battery packs so they can be quickly swapped out thus negating the issue of requiring long time periods to charge and the ability to have multiple packs so that longer distances can be traveled, similar to having jerry cans of gasoline for an internal combustion automobile.

Even with these issues I believe we are approaching a tipping point. We currently have a multitude of means of creating electricity, and that energy can be stored and made portable, including both wind and solar. When, not if, that an affordable means of storing electricity is found civilisation will undergo another positive transformation.

Note that historically all of these advances in civilisation were the result of technological and economic breakthroughs and not by government intervention. So even though there is much government "encouragement" of electric vehicles it is a classic example of putting "the cart before the horse". When industry can come up with a way to store and transport energy in a such a way that it is useful no matter where you are in the world, night and day, just like petroleum, then we can make the next leap forward.

Will that breakthrough be with batteries? Maybe, if they can standardise on the form factor so they can be easily swapped in and out and avoid long recharging wait times; and improve the weight to contained power density; and figure out a way to solve the problem of greatly reduced battery output with decreasing temperature. Lots of issues, never mind the high cost with no means on the horizon of having a dramatic decrease any time soon.

Maybe fuel cells can solve the remaining hurdles that prevent them from being cost effective? Another possibility is that maybe someone will come up with a cost effective way of converting hydrogen and carbon into synthetic petroleum. Now wouldn't that be something! Take elements that abound in nature and combine all into a form for which we already have the infrastructure and the means of using. That would be transformational! Yes, I know, we already have ethanol and biodiesel but their cost of production is still too high based on current technology and sacrifice that land for food production. Maybe the next breakthrough will be using the high energy density of nuclear to cheaply break apart water to release hydrogen, do the same with organic compounds to release carbon and then using catalysts combine the two to make synthetic gasoline?

Regardless, researchers are looking and I am very confident a breakthrough will come long before we run out of conventional petroleum. So many possibilities but driven by the market place and not by government interference. What is that quote attributed to Reagan? Oh yeah, "The nine most terrifying words in the English language are: 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help.'"